How

our

Marketing

Mix

Modelling

helped

Blunt

scale

with

confidence

We scaled media spend, doubled revenue, and lowered CPA where it mattered most.

What is Marketing Mix Modeling?

Think of MMM as your marketing GPS. Unlike ad platforms, it isn’t paid to prefer one channel over another. It simply shows which channels truly drive revenue, which ones quietly burn budget, and gives you a clear, data-backed plan for where to put your next dollar.

“Double’s MMM model helped us cut through the noise. It gave us clarity on what’s actually driving growth - and the confidence to invest with intention...which, in marketing, feels like a small miracle.

Cynatra Major

Ecommerce & Digital Manager

The Complete Picture

BLUNT was growing fast, but lacked a clear view of what was driving performance. International expansion made that clarity even more critical.

The Problem

BLUNT was growing fast at home and overseas, but had limited visibility on which channels were actually driving profitable sales. Seasonal spikes, collaborations, promotions, unpredictable weather, and rapid international expansion made it almost impossible to see what was really working.

The Solution

BLUNT worked with Double to run Marketing Mix Modelling on two years of data across Google Ads, paid social, email, SEO (plus rainfall, OCR and seasonality) to see what was actually driving sales.

The Output

What the model produces

The MMM itself takes BLUNT’s historical spend and sales data and outputs:

Channel contribution & ROI - how much revenue each channel actually drove, on top of baseline sales.

Saturation & response curves - where each channel is on the curve (room to scale vs hitting diminishing returns).

Short vs long-term impact - how much of each channel’s effect is immediate versus brand/carryover.

Budget optimisation scenarios - simulated “what if” plans showing expected revenue and ROAS for different budget mixes.


What we turn it into

Double then translates those technical outputs into a decision pack:

A model summary report that explains the key charts in plain English.

A budget & scenario deck showing recommended reallocations by channel (e.g. “+20% here, -10% there”) and the expected impact.

A clear action playbook for the next budget cycle: where to cut, where to double down, and where not to scale beyond a certain point.

The end result for BLUNT: a clear, unbiased plan for where the next dollar should go - not just what worked historically.

What We Discovered & How They Responded

Three discoveries that transformed their strategy

Google Ads were goldmines

Best return on investment with room to spend a lot more without losing efficiency.

Doubled down on Google Ads

Email was their secret weapon

Driving meaningful revenue that kept growing over time. Social media was the best way to grow their email list.

Used social media to grow email lists

Brand awareness was maxed out

They were spending too much on upper-funnel campaigns that weren't delivering anymore.

Cut ineffective TOF spending

The Impact

How things changed once we acted on the MMM recommendations.

Google Ads

Investment:

+20%

spend

Results:

+40%

revenue

-30%

cost / conv

Social Media

Investment:

+52%

spend

Results:

+43%

revenue

-39%

cost / conv

Ready to be more like Blunt
and stop guessing?

Speak with our experts for a quote

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